Predikisi Rata-Rata Curah Hujan Bulanan di Pasuruan Menggunakan Metode Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing
نویسندگان
چکیده
Curah hujan merupakan butiran – air yang keluar dari gumpalan awan. sangat penting dalam berlangsung nya kehidupan sehari hari. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk meramalkan rata curah bulanan di Pasuruan dengan menggunakan Metode Holt- Winters Exponential Smoothing. Dimana Smoothing salah satu metode dapat digunakan melakukan perhitungan prediksi kedepan data pada tahun sebelumnya dimana pola trend dan musiman. Data penelitian adalah 2015 2019. didapat hasil Badan Pusat Statistik Pasuruan. Hasil dilakukan nilai α=0,024281 ,β=0 ,dan γ=0,084768 MAPE 41% dikatakan bahwa Holt Model Multiplicative cukup baik
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: JRST (Jurnal Riset Sains dan Teknologi)
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2549-9750', '2579-9118']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.30595/jrst.v5i2.9702